国泰君安：“三重底”共振 全面看多银行板块2023年投资机会

中国地震台网正式测定：12月15日07时18分在重庆荣昌区（北纬29.30度，东经105.49度）发生4.0级地震，震源深度8千米。","multimedia":{"img_url":["https://n.sinaimg.cn/zhibo/408/w690h518/20221215/cd83-c617528e0d55dd84409c3534659d8688.jpg"]},"commentid":"live:finance-152-2904714:0","compere_id":0,"creator":"yongsheng6@staff.sina.com.cn","mender":"yongsheng6@staff.sina.com.cn","create_time":"2022-12-15 07:30:07","update_time":"2022-12-15 07:30:48","is_need_check":"0","check_time":"1970-01-01 08:00:01","check_status":"1","check_user":"","is_delete":0,"top_value":0,"is_focus":0,"source_content_id":"0","anchor_image_url":"","anchor":"直播员","ext":"{"stocks":[],"needPush":false,"needAIPush":false,"needCMSLink":true,"needCalender":false,"needProvince":"重庆"}","old_live_cid":"0","tab":"","tag":[{"id":"8","name":"其他"}],"like_nums":0,"comment_list":{"list":[],"total":0,"thread_show":0,"qreply":0,"qreply_show":0,"show":0},"docurl":"","rich_text_nick_to_url":[],"rich_text_nick_to_routeUri":[],"compere_info":""},{"id":2904713,"zhibo_id":152,"type":0,"rich_text":"【国泰君安：“三重底”共振 全面看多银行板块2023年投资机会】国泰君安研报指出，银行板块当前处于政策底、估值底和业绩底的“三重底”共振催化阶段：1.政策底：地产风险和疫情形势是近年压制银行板块的两座大山，但目前压制因素已边际缓解：①房地产支持政策不断出台，近期债券、信贷、权益“三箭齐发”，预计能有效化解房地产风险；②防疫政策也在持续优化，有望刺激居民需求，推动经济复苏；2.估值底：当前银行板块动态估值仅0.52倍PB，估值隐含不良率高达20%，已非常充分地消化了各项或有利空，包括2023Q1的贷款重定价；3.业绩底：预计2022Q3就是上市银行营收增速的绝对底部，2023Q2起将进入景气上行区间。优质个股仍能保持营收和利润的高速增长。“三重底”共振，催化银行势起，全面看多银行板块2023年的投资机会。