看图：美联储准备再次加息的预期令两年期美债承压

【看图：美联储准备再次加息的预期令两年期美债承压】对经济学家的一项调查显示，美国经济的弹性将导致美联储在2023年再加息一次，并在明年保持在峰值利率水平的时间比此前预期的更长。而美国国债并没有为此做好准备。图像显示，两年期国债收益率在央行周期的这个节点上过低。美联储在2018年12月、2006年6月和2000年5月结束了前三轮紧缩政策。这三次，两年期国债收益率都接近或高于联邦基金目标利率(或是美联储设定区间后的区间顶部)。目前，两年期国债收益率比利率区间的上限低了近50个基点。如果美联储结束加息，它将还有很长一段路要走，以符合通常的模式；如果美联储最后一次加息，两年期国债收益率的上升空间会更大。","multimedia":{"img_url":["https://n.sinaimg.cn/zhibo/474/w809h465/20230919/6116-01f81ba1a74f8c0eb91e1629bdfc948e.png"]},"commentid":"live:finance-152-3245817:0","compere_id":0,"creator":"zhouwei6@staff.sina.com","mender":"zhouwei6@staff.sina.com","create_time":"2023-09-19 01:56:50","update_time":"2023-09-19 01:56:50","is_need_check":"1","check_time":"2023-09-19 01:56:54","check_status":"1","check_user":"yongsheng6@staff.sina.com.cn","is_delete":0,"top_value":0,"is_focus":0,"source_content_id":"0","anchor_image_url":"","anchor":"直播员","ext":"{"stocks":[{"market":"globalbd","symbol":"usg1y","key":"美债"},{"market":"globalbd","symbol":"usg5y","key":"美债"},{"market":"globalbd","symbol":"usg10y","key":"美债"},{"market":"CFF","symbol":"nf_tf0","key":"国债"},{"market":"CFF","symbol":"nf_t0","key":"国债"},{"market":"CFF","symbol":"nf_ts0","key":"国债"}],"needPush":false,"needAIPush":false,"needCMSLink":true,"needCalender":false,"needProvince":"0"}","old_live_cid":"0","tab":"","tag":[{"id":"102","name":"国际"}],"like_nums":0,"comment_list":{"list":[],"total":0,"thread_show":0,"qreply":0,"qreply_show":0,"show":0},"docurl":"","rich_text_nick_to_url":[],"rich_text_nick_to_routeUri":[],"compere_info":""},{"id":3245816,"zhibo_id":152,"type":0,"rich_text":"COMEX 10月黄金期货收涨0.38%，报1935.20美元/盎司。COMEX 12月黄金期货收涨0.37%，报1953.40美元/盎司。