国内油价调价窗口12日开启，或现今年首次连涨

【国内油价调价窗口12日开启，或现今年首次连涨】 据中新经纬，7月12日24时，国内成品油新一轮调价窗口将开启。机构预计，本轮调价大概率上调。本轮计价周期内，国际油价震荡拉升，挺价因素非常丰富。梳理发现，今年国内成品油已历经13轮调整，呈现“五涨六跌两搁浅”的格局，汽油价格累计下调55元/吨，柴油价格累计下调50元/吨。若本次涨价落实，将迎来年内首次连涨。据金联创测算，截至7月11日第9个工作日，参考原油品种均价为73.92美元/桶，变化率为1.96%，对应的国内汽柴油零售价应上调120元/吨。卓创资讯预计，汽柴油零售价将上调120元/吨。隆众资讯预计，三季度国际油价或先涨后跌，四季度油价则有一定的反弹空间，但整体上行趋势依然受阻，难以走出非常强势的表现。卓创资讯分析，未来半年行情，除了第三季度油价波动重心有望小幅上移之外，第四季度油价上移幅度恐将加大，美原油年底冲击80美元/桶大关。因此，从趋势来看，下半年油价震荡走高；从空间来看，年底两油将重新回到80-85美元/桶波动，较目前位置提升约10美元/桶。","multimedia":{"img_url":["https://n.sinaimg.cn/zhibo/689/w767h722/20230712/3c65-e107a30fd130c511e1376ccd379aa6c5.jpg"]},"commentid":"live:finance-152-3172246:0","compere_id":0,"creator":"zhouwei6@staff.sina.com","mender":"zhouwei6@staff.sina.com","create_time":"2023-07-12 01:42:52","update_time":"2023-07-12 01:42:55","is_need_check":"0","check_time":"1970-01-01 08:00:01","check_status":"1","check_user":"","is_delete":0,"top_value":0,"is_focus":0,"source_content_id":"0","anchor_image_url":"","anchor":"直播员","ext":"{"stocks":[{"market":"global","symbol":"hf_gaso","key":"u6c7du6cb9"},{"market":"global","symbol":"hf_gas","key":"u67f4u6cb9"},{"market":"commodity","symbol":"nf_sc0","key":"u539fu6cb9"},{"market":"global","symbol":"hf_cl","key":"u539fu6cb9"},{"market":"global","symbol":"hf_oil","key":"u539fu6cb9"},{"market":"fund","symbol":"160216","key":"u539fu6cb9"},{"market":"fund","symbol":"160416","key":"u539fu6cb9"},{"market":"fund","symbol":"007844","key":"u539fu6cb9"},{"market":"cn","symbol":"sz301299","key":"u5353u521bu8d44u8baf"}],"needPush":false,"needAIPush":false,"needCMSLink":true,"needCalender":false,"needProvince":"0","docurl":"https:\/\/finance.sina.com.cn\/7x24\/2023-07-12\/doc-imzaiytz3765699.shtml","docid":"mzaiytz3765699"}","old_live_cid":"0","tab":"","tag":[{"id":"2","name":"行业"}],"like_nums":0,"comment_list":{"list":[],"total":0,"thread_show":0,"qreply":0,"qreply_show":0,"show":0},"docurl":"https://finance.sina.cn/7x24/2023-07-12/detail-imzaiytz3765699.d.html","rich_text_nick_to_url":[],"rich_text_nick_to_routeUri":[],"compere_info":""},{"id":3172245,"zhibo_id":152,"type":0,"rich_text":"COMEX 8月黄金期货收涨0.31%，报1937.10美元/盎司。 COMEX 10月黄金期货收涨0.31%，报1956.20美元/盎司。